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Royals 2026 Projected Batting Performance


All raw data supplied courtesy of Baseball-Reference.com.
They do a wonderful job, and deserve your support.

2026 Royals Projected Batting

Through games of Sunday, 27 September 2026.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Explanation of the Table

The Table below shows two lines for each player and for the team as a whole: Actual and Projected. The Actual lines are just what it says: the actual stats for this season to date; the Projected lines want a little explanation.

The projecting has two steps. The first is simple: for each man, we calculate the ratio of his current-season-to-date Plate Appearances to his career Plate Appearances, then multiply all his career stats by that ratio to get what one might call his “raw” career-performance data pro-rated to his current-year number of Plate Appearances. So, as a hypothetical example, a man with 5,000 career PAs and 250 PAs this season would have a ratio of 250/5000, or .050; so, if he had, say, 1215 career Hits, his raw projected Hits number for this season would be 1215 x .05, or 61 (if the calculated number is fractional, as with 60.75, we round it off to the nearest whole number).

That much is simple and, we hope, clear. The second adjustment takes a little explaining. It derives from the fact that—for a team or for an individual man—the number of Plate Appearances that will be had for a given number of Outs made (which is to say “innings played”) depends exactly on the on-base percentage: the higher the on-base percentage, the more PAs the man or team will have in any given number of innings.

To clarify: imagine a team with an abysmal .250 on-base percentage; that number means that, on average, one man in four that they send to the plate will get on safely. The converse of that is that three men in four will make out. (For simplicity’s sake in this elementary example, we ignore outs made on the bases.) So, in an average inning, that team, to make the three outs that constitute an inning, will send 4 men to the plate. If we next imagine a team with an equally absurd .500 on-base percentage, only half its batters make an out: thus, to make the three outs that define an inning, they would have—again, on average—to send 6 men to the plate. So (as should be intuitively obvious anyway), for a given number of innings, a higher OBP means more PAs.

The consequence of that is that each man’s “raw”stat projections, which were based on his PAs for this season, are slightly inaccurate, because his—and the team’s—PAs would be different (perhaps higher, perhaps lower) from what they are if all the men were performing at their career rates. To correct for that, we calculate each man’s career "outs rate" (all Outs made per plate appearance, which does include outs made on the bases) and multiply it by his percentage of the team’s total Plate Appearances; we then sum up those outs rates to get a projected team Outs rate, and from that—holding Outs made (which, again, is just innings played) constant—we can reckon the projected team PA total. We can then adjust each projected stat line by the ratio of expected team PAs to actual PAs (which normally yields a number fairly close to, but not equalling,1.0), giving us the true projected stats for each man and for the team.

(For this season for this team’s batting, the adjustment factor, rounded to three decimal places—the actual calculations use many more decimals— is 0.993)

Incidentally, that last adjustment is the reason that even rookies, whose whole “career” is just the current season, can have “adjusted” lines that differ slightly from their actual data lines, and why the TOP numbers here may differ slightly from those on other pages here.

You can see the overall “win-capability” of the team (its wins projected from these team numbers and the corresponding team pitching numbers) at our “Projected Team-Performances” page.

The Table

Player (alphabetical by last name) G PA AB H 2B 3B HR TB BB SH SF HBP CI TOP
Jac Caglianone, actual: 143 553 512 148 32 2 23 253 33 0 1 7 0 965
Jac Caglianone, projected: 143 549 505 127 27 2 21 220 36 0 1 8 0 741
Isaac Collins, actual: 145 519 442 94 24 3 6 142 64 3 3 7 0 565
Isaac Collins, projected: 145 515 437 102 24 3 8 156 65 3 3 7 0 673
Elias Díaz, actual: 10 23 22 5 2 0 2 13 1 0 0 0 0 1045
Elias Díaz, projected: 10 23 21 5 1 0 1 8 1 0 0 0 0 599
Maikel Garcia, actual: 82 344 310 83 20 3 3 118 32 0 2 0 0 631
Maikel Garcia, projected: 82 341 309 82 17 3 5 118 27 1 3 0 0 678
Jonathan India, actual: 17 58 48 8 1 0 2 15 8 0 0 2 0 685
Jonathan India, projected: 17 58 49 12 3 0 1 20 6 0 0 2 0 715
Kyle Isbel, actual: 100 323 294 66 9 1 6 95 15 9 2 3 0 430
Kyle Isbel, projected: 100 321 292 69 13 4 5 104 18 6 2 2 0 501
Player (alphabetical by last name) G PA AB H 2B 3B HR TB BB SH SF HBP CI TOP
Carter Jensen, actual: 149 603 527 126 35 2 27 246 65 0 7 4 0 855
Carter Jensen, projected: 149 599 523 128 37 2 27 249 66 0 6 4 0 868
Nick Loftin, actual: 118 426 371 89 27 2 8 144 41 4 4 6 0 667
Nick Loftin, projected: 118 423 371 85 22 2 6 132 39 3 4 5 0 560
Matthew Lugo, actual: 9 15 14 2 0 0 0 2 1 0 0 0 0 144
Matthew Lugo, projected: 9 15 15 3 0 0 1 6 0 0 0 0 0 523
Luke Maile, actual: 18 48 44 7 2 0 1 12 4 0 0 0 0 281
Luke Maile, projected: 18 48 43 9 2 0 1 14 4 0 0 1 0 450
Starling Marte, actual: 59 168 153 37 5 0 2 48 9 0 2 4 0 478
Starling Marte, projected: 59 167 152 43 8 1 4 66 9 1 1 4 0 838
Michael Massey, actual: 131 452 423 115 25 1 13 181 21 3 5 0 0 680
Michael Massey, projected: 131 449 417 104 20 1 13 165 20 2 5 4 0 625
Player (alphabetical by last name) G PA AB H 2B 3B HR TB BB SH SF HBP CI TOP
Kameron Misner, actual: 18 44 41 9 1 0 0 10 2 1 0 0 0 317
Kameron Misner, projected: 18 44 40 8 2 0 1 13 3 0 0 0 0 468
Vinnie Pasquantino, actual: 114 481 421 105 20 2 17 180 51 0 5 4 0 829
Vinnie Pasquantino, projected: 114 477 425 112 23 1 18 192 42 0 5 4 0 811
Salvador Perez, actual: 152 627 580 133 24 1 21 222 25 0 7 13 2 551
Salvador Perez, projected: 152 622 583 152 28 1 27 263 24 0 5 9 1 704
John Rave, actual: 52 161 142 33 8 1 6 61 17 2 0 0 0 745
John Rave, projected: 52 160 140 30 6 0 5 51 17 2 0 0 0 577
Josh Rojas, actual: 43 115 106 24 4 0 2 34 5 2 1 1 0 478
Josh Rojas, projected: 43 114 101 24 5 0 2 35 11 1 1 0 0 617
Lane Thomas, actual: 97 328 285 66 16 0 10 112 39 0 2 2 0 725
Lane Thomas, projected: 97 326 292 70 16 1 11 121 28 0 3 3 0 722
Player (alphabetical by last name) G PA AB H 2B 3B HR TB BB SH SF HBP CI TOP
Tyler Tolbert, actual: 78 148 130 37 5 0 3 51 12 4 1 1 0 801
Tyler Tolbert, projected: 78 147 129 37 5 0 3 50 9 4 2 3 0 803
Andrew Velazquez, actual: 6 15 15 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 20
Andrew Velazquez, projected: 6 15 14 3 0 0 0 4 1 0 0 0 0 272
Bobby Witt Jr., actual: 143 632 558 157 33 1 18 246 67 0 4 3 0 971
Bobby Witt Jr., projected: 143 627 570 164 34 7 23 281 45 0 6 5 0 959
Royals, Actual: 162 6083 5438 1345 293 19 170 2186 512 28 46 57 2 704
Royals, Projected: 162 6040 5428 1369 293 28 183 2268 471 23 47 61 1 719


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: 0.247 0.252
Slugging Average: 0.402 0.418
Walks (per PA): 0.084 0.078
SOs (per PA): 0.209 0.208
On-Base Average: 0.316 0.316
Power Factor: 1.625 1.657
OPS: 0.718 0.734
Runs Expected from Actual Stats: 704
Runs Expected from Projected Stats: 719
Actual Runs Scored: 690

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This page was last modified on Tuesday, 29 September 2026, at 5:31 am Pacific Time.