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Marlins 2026 Projected Batting Performance


All raw data supplied courtesy of Baseball-Reference.com.
They do a wonderful job, and deserve your support.

2026 Marlins Projected Batting

Through games of Tuesday, 1 September 2026.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Explanation of the Table

The Table below shows two lines for each player and for the team as a whole: Actual and Projected. The Actual lines are just what it says: the actual stats for this season to date; the Projected lines want a little explanation.

The projecting has two steps. The first is simple: for each man, we calculate the ratio of his current-season-to-date Plate Appearances to his career Plate Appearances, then multiply all his career stats by that ratio to get what one might call his “raw” career-performance data pro-rated to his current-year number of Plate Appearances. So, as a hypothetical example, a man with 5,000 career PAs and 250 PAs this season would have a ratio of 250/5000, or .050; so, if he had, say, 1215 career Hits, his raw projected Hits number for this season would be 1215 x .05, or 61 (if the calculated number is fractional, as with 60.75, we round it off to the nearest whole number).

That much is simple and, we hope, clear. The second adjustment takes a little explaining. It derives from the fact that—for a team or for an individual man—the number of Plate Appearances that will be had for a given number of Outs made (which is to say “innings played”) depends exactly on the on-base percentage: the higher the on-base percentage, the more PAs the man or team will have in any given number of innings.

To clarify: imagine a team with an abysmal .250 on-base percentage; that number means that, on average, one man in four that they send to the plate will get on safely. The converse of that is that three men in four will make out. (For simplicity’s sake in this elementary example, we ignore outs made on the bases.) So, in an average inning, that team, to make the three outs that constitute an inning, will send 4 men to the plate. If we next imagine a team with an equally absurd .500 on-base percentage, only half its batters make an out: thus, to make the three outs that define an inning, they would have—again, on average—to send 6 men to the plate. So (as should be intuitively obvious anyway), for a given number of innings, a higher OBP means more PAs.

The consequence of that is that each man’s “raw”stat projections, which were based on his PAs for this season, are slightly inaccurate, because his—and the team’s—PAs would be different (perhaps higher, perhaps lower) from what they are if all the men were performing at their career rates. To correct for that, we calculate each man’s career "outs rate" (all Outs made per plate appearance, which does include outs made on the bases) and multiply it by his percentage of the team’s total Plate Appearances; we then sum up those outs rates to get a projected team Outs rate, and from that—holding Outs made (which, again, is just innings played) constant—we can reckon the projected team PA total. We can then adjust each projected stat line by the ratio of expected team PAs to actual PAs (which normally yields a number fairly close to, but not equalling,1.0), giving us the true projected stats for each man and for the team.

(For this season for this team’s batting, the adjustment factor, rounded to three decimal places—the actual calculations use many more decimals— is 0.991)

Incidentally, that last adjustment is the reason that even rookies, whose whole “career” is just the current season, can have “adjusted” lines that differ slightly from their actual data lines, and why the TOP numbers here may differ slightly from those on other pages here.

You can see the overall “win-capability” of the team (its wins projected from these team numbers and the corresponding team pitching numbers) at our “Projected Team-Performances” page.

The Table

Player (alphabetical by last name) G PA AB H 2B 3B HR TB BB SH SF HBP CI TOP
Owen Caissie, actual: 100 308 274 61 14 0 13 114 23 0 7 4 0 722
Owen Caissie, projected: 100 305 273 60 14 0 13 112 22 0 6 4 0 674
Griffin Conine, actual: 71 235 202 50 6 0 14 98 29 0 0 4 0 1036
Griffin Conine, projected: 71 233 206 52 10 1 11 95 24 0 0 3 0 904
Deyvison De Los Santos, actual: 4 9 9 3 1 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 825
Deyvison De Los Santos, projected: 4 9 9 3 1 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 826
Xavier Edwards, actual: 137 574 500 141 17 6 6 188 65 3 6 0 0 823
Xavier Edwards, projected: 137 569 505 148 19 6 4 189 54 3 5 1 0 867
Heriberto Hernández, actual: 107 399 354 81 14 1 22 163 42 0 1 2 0 856
Heriberto Hernández, projected: 107 395 348 85 15 1 18 157 42 0 3 3 0 850
Liam Hicks, actual: 101 409 354 100 9 1 14 153 40 1 6 8 0 1005
Liam Hicks, projected: 101 405 347 94 12 1 11 140 43 2 5 9 0 892
Player (alphabetical by last name) G PA AB H 2B 3B HR TB BB SH SF HBP CI TOP
Rece Hinds, actual: 1 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Rece Hinds, projected: 1 2 2 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
Leo Jiménez, actual: 66 194 166 33 4 0 2 43 18 1 1 8 0 412
Leo Jiménez, projected: 66 192 165 34 7 0 3 49 14 1 2 11 0 480
Otto López, actual: 135 586 541 165 30 7 10 239 30 0 11 4 0 984
Otto López, projected: 135 581 535 148 26 3 11 213 36 1 6 3 0 769
Joe Mack, actual: 86 272 248 58 8 0 12 102 17 4 1 2 0 596
Joe Mack, projected: 86 270 246 57 8 0 12 101 17 4 1 2 0 582
Jakob Marsee, actual: 133 526 440 92 16 5 8 142 68 5 1 12 0 617
Jakob Marsee, projected: 133 521 445 105 23 5 9 166 62 3 1 10 0 697
Christopher Morel, actual: 22 73 68 11 3 0 0 14 4 0 0 1 0 222
Christopher Morel, projected: 22 72 65 14 3 0 3 26 6 0 0 1 0 629
Player (alphabetical by last name) G PA AB H 2B 3B HR TB BB SH SF HBP CI TOP
Brian Navarreto, actual: 22 50 42 5 1 0 1 9 2 3 1 2 0 220
Brian Navarreto, projected: 22 50 43 8 2 0 1 14 1 2 1 1 0 304
Connor Norby, actual: 65 233 200 41 12 0 4 65 24 0 1 8 0 549
Connor Norby, projected: 65 231 208 49 12 0 6 81 18 0 1 4 0 649
Graham Pauley, actual: 47 119 112 23 9 1 2 40 5 1 1 0 0 355
Graham Pauley, projected: 47 118 107 22 6 1 3 38 9 1 1 0 0 474
Agustín Ramírez, actual: 52 191 165 39 8 1 2 55 23 0 1 2 0 641
Agustín Ramírez, projected: 52 189 171 40 10 0 6 68 14 0 1 2 0 619
Esteury Ruiz, actual: 92 204 168 40 10 1 6 70 22 1 1 11 1 991
Esteury Ruiz, projected: 92 202 178 43 9 1 3 64 12 2 1 7 2 642
Javier Sanoja, actual: 121 392 368 104 28 2 6 154 22 1 1 0 0 766
Javier Sanoja, projected: 121 388 361 95 26 3 6 145 21 3 3 1 0 660
Player (alphabetical by last name) G PA AB H 2B 3B HR TB BB SH SF HBP CI TOP
Jared Serna, actual: 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 116
Jared Serna, projected: 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 113
Austin Slater, actual: 12 28 23 4 0 0 0 4 4 0 1 0 0 457
Austin Slater, projected: 12 28 24 6 1 0 1 9 3 0 0 0 0 726
Kyle Stowers, actual: 102 428 376 92 23 4 17 174 42 1 2 7 0 817
Kyle Stowers, projected: 102 424 377 94 20 3 17 171 38 1 2 6 0 794
Marlins, Actual: 139 5233 4613 1143 213 29 139 1831 480 21 43 75 1 637
Marlins, Projected: 139 5185 4616 1157 224 25 138 1843 436 23 39 68 2 618


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: 0.248 0.251
Slugging Average: 0.397 0.399
Walks (per PA): 0.092 0.084
SOs (per PA): 0.218 0.218
On-Base Average: 0.326 0.322
Power Factor: 1.602 1.593
OPS: 0.723 0.721
Runs Expected from Actual Stats: 637
Runs Expected from Projected Stats: 618
Actual Runs Scored: 603

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This page was last modified on Wednesday, 2 September 2026, at 2:48 pm Pacific Time.