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Mets 2026 Projected Batting Performance


All raw data supplied courtesy of Baseball-Reference.com.
They do a wonderful job, and deserve your support.

2026 Mets Projected Batting

Through games of Tuesday, 1 September 2026.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Explanation of the Table

The Table below shows two lines for each player and for the team as a whole: Actual and Projected. The Actual lines are just what it says: the actual stats for this season to date; the Projected lines want a little explanation.

The projecting has two steps. The first is simple: for each man, we calculate the ratio of his current-season-to-date Plate Appearances to his career Plate Appearances, then multiply all his career stats by that ratio to get what one might call his “raw” career-performance data pro-rated to his current-year number of Plate Appearances. So, as a hypothetical example, a man with 5,000 career PAs and 250 PAs this season would have a ratio of 250/5000, or .050; so, if he had, say, 1215 career Hits, his raw projected Hits number for this season would be 1215 x .05, or 61 (if the calculated number is fractional, as with 60.75, we round it off to the nearest whole number).

That much is simple and, we hope, clear. The second adjustment takes a little explaining. It derives from the fact that—for a team or for an individual man—the number of Plate Appearances that will be had for a given number of Outs made (which is to say “innings played”) depends exactly on the on-base percentage: the higher the on-base percentage, the more PAs the man or team will have in any given number of innings.

To clarify: imagine a team with an abysmal .250 on-base percentage; that number means that, on average, one man in four that they send to the plate will get on safely. The converse of that is that three men in four will make out. (For simplicity’s sake in this elementary example, we ignore outs made on the bases.) So, in an average inning, that team, to make the three outs that constitute an inning, will send 4 men to the plate. If we next imagine a team with an equally absurd .500 on-base percentage, only half its batters make an out: thus, to make the three outs that define an inning, they would have—again, on average—to send 6 men to the plate. So (as should be intuitively obvious anyway), for a given number of innings, a higher OBP means more PAs.

The consequence of that is that each man’s “raw”stat projections, which were based on his PAs for this season, are slightly inaccurate, because his—and the team’s—PAs would be different (perhaps higher, perhaps lower) from what they are if all the men were performing at their career rates. To correct for that, we calculate each man’s career "outs rate" (all Outs made per plate appearance, which does include outs made on the bases) and multiply it by his percentage of the team’s total Plate Appearances; we then sum up those outs rates to get a projected team Outs rate, and from that—holding Outs made (which, again, is just innings played) constant—we can reckon the projected team PA total. We can then adjust each projected stat line by the ratio of expected team PAs to actual PAs (which normally yields a number fairly close to, but not equalling,1.0), giving us the true projected stats for each man and for the team.

(For this season for this team’s batting, the adjustment factor, rounded to three decimal places—the actual calculations use many more decimals— is 1.013)

Incidentally, that last adjustment is the reason that even rookies, whose whole “career” is just the current season, can have “adjusted” lines that differ slightly from their actual data lines, and why the TOP numbers here may differ slightly from those on other pages here.

You can see the overall “win-capability” of the team (its wins projected from these team numbers and the corresponding team pitching numbers) at our “Projected Team-Performances” page.

The Table

Player (alphabetical by last name) G PA AB H 2B 3B HR TB BB SH SF HBP CI TOP
Francisco Alvarez, actual: 98 359 316 73 12 0 13 124 36 0 1 4 2 628
Francisco Alvarez, projected: 98 364 325 75 13 1 16 136 33 0 1 4 1 679
Gabriel Arias, actual: 2 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Gabriel Arias, projected: 2 5 5 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 379
Brett Baty, actual: 123 415 371 82 17 1 8 125 36 0 4 3 1 568
Brett Baty, projected: 123 420 379 87 13 1 12 137 34 1 2 3 2 610
Carson Benge, actual: 133 549 503 139 18 3 16 211 39 0 1 6 0 865
Carson Benge, projected: 133 556 509 141 18 3 16 214 39 0 1 6 0 847
Bo Bichette, actual: 137 588 541 142 23 2 14 211 38 0 7 2 0 635
Bo Bichette, projected: 137 595 555 161 33 2 19 254 35 0 3 3 0 814
Vidal Bruján, actual: 9 13 11 1 0 0 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 16
Vidal Bruján, projected: 9 13 12 2 1 0 0 3 1 0 0 0 0 258
Player (alphabetical by last name) G PA AB H 2B 3B HR TB BB SH SF HBP CI TOP
A.J. Ewing, actual: 98 404 358 85 17 1 7 125 37 4 3 2 0 682
A.J. Ewing, projected: 98 409 362 86 17 1 7 127 37 4 3 2 0 665
Andy Ibáñez, actual: 3 8 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0
Andy Ibáñez, projected: 3 8 7 2 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 335
Francisco Lindor, actual: 82 355 315 73 9 4 15 135 37 0 0 3 0 788
Francisco Lindor, projected: 82 359 319 87 17 1 15 151 31 2 3 4 0 902
Ronny Mauricio, actual: 17 50 50 9 1 0 1 13 0 0 0 0 0 231
Ronny Mauricio, projected: 17 51 47 11 2 0 1 16 3 0 0 0 0 499
MJ Melendez, actual: 56 144 120 23 5 1 4 42 17 1 1 5 0 617
MJ Melendez, projected: 56 146 129 27 6 1 5 50 15 0 1 1 0 645
Nick Morabito, actual: 6 14 12 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 6
Nick Morabito, projected: 6 14 12 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 6
Player (alphabetical by last name) G PA AB H 2B 3B HR TB BB SH SF HBP CI TOP
Christopher Morel, actual: 7 16 14 3 0 0 0 3 2 0 0 0 0 442
Christopher Morel, projected: 7 16 14 3 1 0 1 6 1 0 0 0 0 651
Cristian Pache, actual: 11 8 8 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 55
Cristian Pache, projected: 11 8 7 1 0 0 0 2 1 0 0 0 0 221
Tommy Pham, actual: 9 14 13 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0
Tommy Pham, projected: 9 14 12 3 1 0 0 5 2 0 0 0 0 518
Jorge Polanco, actual: 37 145 135 20 5 0 2 31 9 1 0 0 0 227
Jorge Polanco, projected: 37 147 131 34 7 1 5 57 13 1 1 1 0 792
Luis Robert Jr., actual: 58 218 193 43 4 0 10 77 23 0 2 0 0 692
Luis Robert Jr., projected: 58 221 202 52 10 0 10 91 15 0 1 2 1 792
Marcus Semien, actual: 119 462 419 91 10 1 14 145 37 1 4 1 0 575
Marcus Semien, projected: 119 468 421 106 21 2 17 181 41 0 3 2 0 790
Player (alphabetical by last name) G PA AB H 2B 3B HR TB BB SH SF HBP CI TOP
Hayden Senger, actual: 7 17 15 2 0 0 1 5 0 2 0 0 0 312
Hayden Senger, projected: 7 17 16 3 0 0 0 3 1 1 0 0 0 144
Zack Short, actual: 6 16 14 1 0 0 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 16
Zack Short, projected: 6 16 14 2 0 0 0 4 2 0 0 0 0 221
Austin Slater, actual: 9 21 20 5 1 0 0 6 1 0 0 0 0 555
Austin Slater, projected: 9 21 19 5 1 0 0 7 2 0 0 0 0 648
Juan Soto, actual: 88 372 305 85 8 2 22 163 64 0 2 0 1 1244
Juan Soto, projected: 88 377 303 85 15 1 19 161 70 0 2 1 0 1257
Tyrone Taylor, actual: 67 159 145 35 8 0 10 73 9 4 0 1 0 714
Tyrone Taylor, projected: 67 161 148 36 9 1 5 63 9 1 1 3 0 647
Luis Torrens, actual: 80 244 222 53 12 0 8 89 16 2 0 4 0 626
Luis Torrens, projected: 80 247 225 51 11 1 6 81 18 1 1 2 0 517
Player (alphabetical by last name) G PA AB H 2B 3B HR TB BB SH SF HBP CI TOP
Mark Vientos, actual: 75 259 242 51 9 0 12 96 12 0 2 3 0 480
Mark Vientos, projected: 75 262 241 56 10 1 12 104 16 0 2 3 0 648
Eric Wagaman, actual: 26 52 47 9 0 0 2 15 4 0 0 1 0 493
Eric Wagaman, projected: 26 53 49 12 3 0 1 18 3 0 0 0 0 539
Jared Young, actual: 90 294 267 71 16 3 8 117 19 0 2 6 0 816
Jared Young, projected: 90 298 270 67 14 4 10 120 20 0 2 6 0 770
Mets, Actual: 139 5201 4667 1097 175 18 167 1809 439 17 31 43 4 573
Mets, Projected: 139 5266 4733 1196 223 21 177 1996 442 11 27 45 4 643


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: 0.235 0.253
Slugging Average: 0.388 0.422
Walks (per PA): 0.084 0.084
SOs (per PA): 0.228 0.226
On-Base Average: 0.305 0.321
Power Factor: 1.649 1.669
OPS: 0.692 0.742
Runs Expected from Actual Stats: 573
Runs Expected from Projected Stats: 643
Actual Runs Scored: 567

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This page was last modified on Wednesday, 2 September 2026, at 2:48 pm Pacific Time.