Skip to main content 

Owing to the width of most of the many data tables on this site, it is best viewed from a desktop computer. If you are on a mobile device (phone or tablet), you will obtain a better viewing experience by rotating your device a quarter-turn (to get the so-called “panorama” screen view).


The Owlcroft Baseball-Analysis Site




Baseball team and player performance examined realistically and accurately.
 Click here to email us. 



You are here:  Home  »  dailies  »  teams  »  individual  »  projected  »   this page
(Click on any image above to see it at full size.)
You are here:  Home  »  dailies  »  teams  »  individual  »  projected  »   this page
(Click on any image above to see it at full size.)

You are here:  Home  »  dailies  »  teams  »  individual  »  projected  »   this page
You are here:  Home  »  dailies  »  teams  »  individual  »  projected  »   this page
You can get a site directory by clicking on the “hamburger” icon () in the upper right of this page.
Or you can search this site with Google (standard Google-search rules apply).

Search term(s):



Cardinals 2026 Projected Batting Performance


All raw data supplied courtesy of Baseball-Reference.com.
They do a wonderful job, and deserve your support.

2026 Cardinals Projected Batting

Through games of Sunday, 27 September 2026.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Explanation of the Table

The Table below shows two lines for each player and for the team as a whole: Actual and Projected. The Actual lines are just what it says: the actual stats for this season to date; the Projected lines want a little explanation.

The projecting has two steps. The first is simple: for each man, we calculate the ratio of his current-season-to-date Plate Appearances to his career Plate Appearances, then multiply all his career stats by that ratio to get what one might call his “raw” career-performance data pro-rated to his current-year number of Plate Appearances. So, as a hypothetical example, a man with 5,000 career PAs and 250 PAs this season would have a ratio of 250/5000, or .050; so, if he had, say, 1215 career Hits, his raw projected Hits number for this season would be 1215 x .05, or 61 (if the calculated number is fractional, as with 60.75, we round it off to the nearest whole number).

That much is simple and, we hope, clear. The second adjustment takes a little explaining. It derives from the fact that—for a team or for an individual man—the number of Plate Appearances that will be had for a given number of Outs made (which is to say “innings played”) depends exactly on the on-base percentage: the higher the on-base percentage, the more PAs the man or team will have in any given number of innings.

To clarify: imagine a team with an abysmal .250 on-base percentage; that number means that, on average, one man in four that they send to the plate will get on safely. The converse of that is that three men in four will make out. (For simplicity’s sake in this elementary example, we ignore outs made on the bases.) So, in an average inning, that team, to make the three outs that constitute an inning, will send 4 men to the plate. If we next imagine a team with an equally absurd .500 on-base percentage, only half its batters make an out: thus, to make the three outs that define an inning, they would have—again, on average—to send 6 men to the plate. So (as should be intuitively obvious anyway), for a given number of innings, a higher OBP means more PAs.

The consequence of that is that each man’s “raw”stat projections, which were based on his PAs for this season, are slightly inaccurate, because his—and the team’s—PAs would be different (perhaps higher, perhaps lower) from what they are if all the men were performing at their career rates. To correct for that, we calculate each man’s career "outs rate" (all Outs made per plate appearance, which does include outs made on the bases) and multiply it by his percentage of the team’s total Plate Appearances; we then sum up those outs rates to get a projected team Outs rate, and from that—holding Outs made (which, again, is just innings played) constant—we can reckon the projected team PA total. We can then adjust each projected stat line by the ratio of expected team PAs to actual PAs (which normally yields a number fairly close to, but not equalling,1.0), giving us the true projected stats for each man and for the team.

(For this season for this team’s batting, the adjustment factor, rounded to three decimal places—the actual calculations use many more decimals— is 0.983)

Incidentally, that last adjustment is the reason that even rookies, whose whole “career” is just the current season, can have “adjusted” lines that differ slightly from their actual data lines, and why the TOP numbers here may differ slightly from those on other pages here.

You can see the overall “win-capability” of the team (its wins projected from these team numbers and the corresponding team pitching numbers) at our “Projected Team-Performances” page.

The Table

Player (alphabetical by last name) G PA AB H 2B 3B HR TB BB SH SF HBP CI TOP
Joshua Báez, actual: 29 108 100 23 7 0 7 51 4 0 1 3 0 821
Joshua Báez, projected: 29 106 98 23 7 0 7 50 4 0 1 3 0 811
Leo Bernal, actual: 24 102 95 27 3 0 5 45 7 0 0 0 0 920
Leo Bernal, projected: 24 100 93 27 3 0 5 44 7 0 0 0 0 912
Alec Burleson, actual: 160 670 605 169 37 1 26 286 55 0 4 6 0 889
Alec Burleson, projected: 160 659 600 163 31 1 22 262 47 1 5 5 2 778
Nathan Church, actual: 142 470 434 107 17 2 10 158 25 1 6 4 0 594
Nathan Church, projected: 142 462 423 101 16 2 10 149 24 3 6 6 0 563
Jimmy Crooks, actual: 52 149 134 24 6 0 5 45 9 0 1 5 0 456
Jimmy Crooks, projected: 52 147 134 23 5 1 5 42 7 0 1 5 0 420
José Fermín, actual: 118 370 327 81 17 0 6 116 30 2 7 2 2 660
José Fermín, projected: 118 364 319 76 15 1 4 105 32 3 4 4 1 559
Player (alphabetical by last name) G PA AB H 2B 3B HR TB BB SH SF HBP CI TOP
Nolan Gorman, actual: 85 302 266 49 6 0 9 82 33 0 3 0 0 489
Nolan Gorman, projected: 85 297 264 56 10 0 13 106 31 0 2 1 0 657
Iván Herrera, actual: 161 717 605 146 26 1 19 231 76 0 5 31 0 819
Iván Herrera, projected: 161 705 603 160 25 1 20 247 71 0 6 24 1 870
Blaze Jordan, actual: 58 199 186 46 8 4 3 71 7 0 4 2 0 536
Blaze Jordan, projected: 58 196 183 45 8 4 3 70 7 0 4 2 0 523
Lars Nootbaar, actual: 48 183 158 37 8 1 3 56 24 0 1 0 0 652
Lars Nootbaar, projected: 48 180 154 37 8 1 5 62 23 0 1 1 0 776
Pedro Pagés, actual: 82 211 189 41 6 0 4 59 14 4 2 2 0 425
Pedro Pagés, projected: 82 207 191 44 6 1 6 67 12 2 2 1 0 496
Everson Pereira, actual: 11 23 18 5 0 0 1 8 1 1 0 3 0 891
Everson Pereira, projected: 11 23 20 4 1 0 1 6 2 0 0 1 0 553
Player (alphabetical by last name) G PA AB H 2B 3B HR TB BB SH SF HBP CI TOP
Yohel Pozo, actual: 18 33 33 8 1 0 0 9 0 0 0 0 0 238
Yohel Pozo, projected: 18 32 31 8 1 0 1 11 1 0 0 0 0 520
César Prieto, actual: 16 39 38 3 0 1 0 5 1 0 0 0 0 27
César Prieto, projected: 16 38 37 3 0 1 0 5 1 0 0 0 0 28
Thomas Saggese, actual: 57 180 162 38 5 1 4 57 13 0 3 2 0 562
Thomas Saggese, projected: 57 177 163 40 8 0 2 56 10 0 2 1 0 504
Victor Scott II, actual: 80 195 166 32 4 0 2 42 16 10 1 2 0 296
Victor Scott II, projected: 80 192 167 34 7 0 2 47 15 5 1 3 0 409
Bryan Torres, actual: 74 189 166 38 1 2 4 55 18 1 2 2 0 663
Bryan Torres, projected: 74 186 163 37 1 2 4 54 18 1 2 2 0 648
Ramón Urías, actual: 43 100 86 13 3 0 4 28 9 0 1 4 0 455
Ramón Urías, projected: 43 98 88 22 4 0 3 35 7 0 1 2 0 711
Player (alphabetical by last name) G PA AB H 2B 3B HR TB BB SH SF HBP CI TOP
Nelson Velázquez, actual: 34 83 74 16 4 0 4 32 7 0 1 1 0 725
Nelson Velázquez, projected: 34 82 73 15 3 0 4 31 7 0 1 1 0 646
Jordan Walker, actual: 158 667 609 164 33 0 29 284 50 0 4 4 0 871
Jordan Walker, projected: 158 656 598 150 29 2 22 247 48 0 3 6 0 701
JJ Wetherholt, actual: 139 619 537 130 15 0 17 196 64 0 2 16 0 786
JJ Wetherholt, projected: 139 609 528 128 15 0 17 193 63 0 2 16 0 777
Masyn Winn, actual: 136 532 470 109 21 2 5 149 48 0 7 7 0 585
Masyn Winn, projected: 136 523 474 117 23 2 9 170 38 2 5 5 0 608
Cardinals, Actual: 162 6141 5458 1306 228 15 167 2065 511 19 55 96 2 689
Cardinals, Projected: 162 6039 5404 1313 226 19 165 2059 475 17 49 89 4 662


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: 0.239 0.243
Slugging Average: 0.378 0.381
Walks (per PA): 0.083 0.079
SOs (per PA): 0.213 0.212
On-Base Average: 0.313 0.312
Power Factor: 1.581 1.568
OPS: 0.691 0.693
Runs Expected from Actual Stats: 689
Runs Expected from Projected Stats: 662
Actual Runs Scored: 720

Return to the page top. ↑




  Advertisement:


  Advertisement:



Want detailed, careful, unhysterical analysis of the effects of “Performance-Enhancing Drugs” in baseball? Click here to visit the Steroids & Baseball web site.

All content copyright © 2002 - 2026 by The Owlcroft Company.

This web page is strictly compliant with the WHATWG (Web Hypertext Application Technology Working Group) HyperText Markup Language (HTML5) Protocol versionless “Living Standard” and the W3C (World Wide Web Consortium) Cascading Style Sheets (CSS3) Protocol v3  — because we care about interoperability. Click on the logos below to test us!



This page was last modified on Tuesday, 29 September 2026, at 5:31 am Pacific Time.