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Rangers 2026 Projected Batting Performance


All raw data supplied courtesy of Baseball-Reference.com.
They do a wonderful job, and deserve your support.

2026 Rangers Projected Batting

Through games of Monday, 21 September 2026.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Explanation of the Table

The Table below shows two lines for each player and for the team as a whole: Actual and Projected. The Actual lines are just what it says: the actual stats for this season to date; the Projected lines want a little explanation.

The projecting has two steps. The first is simple: for each man, we calculate the ratio of his current-season-to-date Plate Appearances to his career Plate Appearances, then multiply all his career stats by that ratio to get what one might call his “raw” career-performance data pro-rated to his current-year number of Plate Appearances. So, as a hypothetical example, a man with 5,000 career PAs and 250 PAs this season would have a ratio of 250/5000, or .050; so, if he had, say, 1215 career Hits, his raw projected Hits number for this season would be 1215 x .05, or 61 (if the calculated number is fractional, as with 60.75, we round it off to the nearest whole number).

That much is simple and, we hope, clear. The second adjustment takes a little explaining. It derives from the fact that—for a team or for an individual man—the number of Plate Appearances that will be had for a given number of Outs made (which is to say “innings played”) depends exactly on the on-base percentage: the higher the on-base percentage, the more PAs the man or team will have in any given number of innings.

To clarify: imagine a team with an abysmal .250 on-base percentage; that number means that, on average, one man in four that they send to the plate will get on safely. The converse of that is that three men in four will make out. (For simplicity’s sake in this elementary example, we ignore outs made on the bases.) So, in an average inning, that team, to make the three outs that constitute an inning, will send 4 men to the plate. If we next imagine a team with an equally absurd .500 on-base percentage, only half its batters make an out: thus, to make the three outs that define an inning, they would have—again, on average—to send 6 men to the plate. So (as should be intuitively obvious anyway), for a given number of innings, a higher OBP means more PAs.

The consequence of that is that each man’s “raw”stat projections, which were based on his PAs for this season, are slightly inaccurate, because his—and the team’s—PAs would be different (perhaps higher, perhaps lower) from what they are if all the men were performing at their career rates. To correct for that, we calculate each man’s career "outs rate" (all Outs made per plate appearance, which does include outs made on the bases) and multiply it by his percentage of the team’s total Plate Appearances; we then sum up those outs rates to get a projected team Outs rate, and from that—holding Outs made (which, again, is just innings played) constant—we can reckon the projected team PA total. We can then adjust each projected stat line by the ratio of expected team PAs to actual PAs (which normally yields a number fairly close to, but not equalling,1.0), giving us the true projected stats for each man and for the team.

(For this season for this team’s batting, the adjustment factor, rounded to three decimal places—the actual calculations use many more decimals— is 0.996)

Incidentally, that last adjustment is the reason that even rookies, whose whole “career” is just the current season, can have “adjusted” lines that differ slightly from their actual data lines, and why the TOP numbers here may differ slightly from those on other pages here.

You can see the overall “win-capability” of the team (its wins projected from these team numbers and the corresponding team pitching numbers) at our “Projected Team-Performances” page.

The Table

Player (alphabetical by last name) G PA AB H 2B 3B HR TB BB SH SF HBP CI TOP
Jonah Bride, actual: 2 6 5 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 481
Jonah Bride, projected: 2 6 5 1 0 0 0 2 1 0 0 0 0 479
Jake Burger, actual: 149 596 533 124 23 0 27 228 55 0 4 4 0 735
Jake Burger, projected: 149 594 544 133 26 1 29 249 37 0 4 8 0 743
Evan Carter, actual: 136 442 380 74 13 3 9 120 46 9 2 5 0 512
Evan Carter, projected: 136 440 382 82 16 4 12 141 45 4 2 7 0 649
Cameron Cauley, actual: 34 65 58 12 3 1 1 20 5 1 0 1 0 509
Cameron Cauley, projected: 34 65 58 12 3 1 1 20 5 1 0 1 0 473
Elias Díaz, actual: 74 207 190 45 11 0 5 71 8 4 3 2 0 521
Elias Díaz, projected: 74 206 189 47 10 0 5 73 14 1 1 1 0 565
Ezequiel Durán, actual: 147 574 518 137 27 4 17 223 44 1 6 5 0 825
Ezequiel Durán, projected: 147 572 528 135 28 2 13 206 33 1 3 6 0 639
Player (alphabetical by last name) G PA AB H 2B 3B HR TB BB SH SF HBP CI TOP
Justin Foscue, actual: 95 238 217 59 13 1 11 107 17 0 1 3 0 907
Justin Foscue, projected: 95 237 218 51 12 1 9 91 15 0 1 2 0 636
Cody Freeman, actual: 33 93 82 21 1 1 1 27 7 3 0 1 0 587
Cody Freeman, projected: 33 93 85 20 2 0 2 29 5 2 0 0 0 463
Sam Haggerty, actual: 35 47 44 7 1 0 0 8 2 0 0 1 0 166
Sam Haggerty, projected: 35 47 42 10 2 0 1 14 4 0 0 1 0 720
Michael Helman, actual: 15 35 30 5 1 0 1 9 1 1 1 2 0 411
Michael Helman, projected: 15 35 31 7 2 0 1 13 2 1 0 1 0 532
Kyle Higashioka, actual: 56 186 165 36 4 0 7 61 19 0 0 2 0 640
Kyle Higashioka, projected: 56 185 171 37 7 0 8 70 11 0 1 1 0 564
Danny Jansen, actual: 61 206 179 36 9 1 6 65 16 4 0 7 0 479
Danny Jansen, projected: 61 205 179 39 8 0 9 74 20 1 1 4 0 691
Player (alphabetical by last name) G PA AB H 2B 3B HR TB BB SH SF HBP CI TOP
Josh Jung, actual: 100 431 387 114 25 1 11 174 34 0 3 7 0 843
Josh Jung, projected: 100 429 399 105 20 1 15 172 25 0 1 4 0 705
Jarred Kelenic, actual: 17 24 20 4 0 0 0 4 4 0 0 0 0 396
Jarred Kelenic, projected: 17 24 22 5 1 0 1 8 2 0 0 0 0 642
Wyatt Langford, actual: 104 447 389 95 20 2 17 170 54 0 0 4 0 843
Wyatt Langford, projected: 104 445 389 96 20 2 16 166 51 0 2 4 0 828
Nicky Lopez, actual: 90 253 222 61 4 1 1 70 12 12 2 5 0 487
Nicky Lopez, projected: 90 252 226 56 8 2 1 70 18 5 1 2 0 512
Andrew McCutchen, actual: 37 83 73 14 2 0 1 19 9 0 1 0 0 467
Andrew McCutchen, projected: 37 83 71 19 4 0 3 32 10 0 1 1 0 959
Brandon Nimmo, actual: 149 631 570 148 34 4 14 232 50 0 4 7 0 713
Brandon Nimmo, projected: 149 629 540 141 28 5 19 234 72 1 3 12 0 914
Player (alphabetical by last name) G PA AB H 2B 3B HR TB BB SH SF HBP CI TOP
Logan O'Hoppe, actual: 10 18 17 6 1 0 0 7 0 0 1 0 0 964
Logan O'Hoppe, projected: 10 18 17 4 0 0 1 6 1 0 0 0 0 692
Alejandro Osuna, actual: 80 225 197 51 5 0 1 59 19 1 0 8 0 641
Alejandro Osuna, projected: 80 224 195 46 5 0 2 56 22 1 1 6 0 559
Joc Pederson, actual: 136 432 374 88 12 2 26 182 49 0 3 5 1 865
Joc Pederson, projected: 136 430 369 87 17 2 21 171 49 1 2 8 1 835
Corey Seager, actual: 96 411 359 83 16 0 18 153 45 0 3 4 0 715
Corey Seager, projected: 96 409 363 103 22 1 18 183 40 0 3 3 0 976
Josh Smith, actual: 45 154 136 29 3 1 1 37 16 0 1 1 0 484
Josh Smith, projected: 45 153 133 31 6 0 3 47 15 1 1 4 0 648
Austin Wynns, actual: 14 32 29 8 0 0 1 11 2 1 0 0 0 846
Austin Wynns, projected: 14 32 29 7 1 0 1 10 2 0 0 0 0 516
Player (alphabetical by last name) G PA AB H 2B 3B HR TB BB SH SF HBP CI TOP
Rangers, Actual: 156 5836 5174 1258 228 22 176 2058 515 37 35 74 1 675
Rangers, Projected: 156 5813 5185 1274 248 22 191 2137 499 20 28 76 1 692


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: 0.243 0.246
Slugging Average: 0.398 0.412
Walks (per PA): 0.088 0.086
SOs (per PA): 0.229 0.228
On-Base Average: 0.319 0.319
Power Factor: 1.636 1.677
OPS: 0.716 0.732
Runs Expected from Actual Stats: 675
Runs Expected from Projected Stats: 692
Actual Runs Scored: 653

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This page was last modified on Tuesday, 22 September 2026, at 5:32 am Pacific Time.