Skip to main content 

Owing to the width of most of the many data tables on this site, it is best viewed from a desktop computer. If you are on a mobile device (phone or tablet), you will obtain a better viewing experience by rotating your device a quarter-turn (to get the so-called “panorama” screen view).


The Owlcroft Baseball-Analysis Site




Baseball team and player performance examined realistically and accurately.
 Click here to email us. 



You are here:  Home  »  dailies  »  teams  »  individual  »  projected  »   this page
(Click on any image above to see it at full size.)
You are here:  Home  »  dailies  »  teams  »  individual  »  projected  »   this page
(Click on any image above to see it at full size.)

You are here:  Home  »  dailies  »  teams  »  individual  »  projected  »   this page
You are here:  Home  »  dailies  »  teams  »  individual  »  projected  »   this page
You can get a site directory by clicking on the “hamburger” icon () in the upper right of this page.
Or you can search this site with Google (standard Google-search rules apply).

Search term(s):



Blue Jays 2026 Projected Batting Performance


All raw data supplied courtesy of Baseball-Reference.com.
They do a wonderful job, and deserve your support.

2026 Blue Jays Projected Batting

Through games of Sunday, 27 September 2026.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.

Explanation of the Table

The Table below shows two lines for each player and for the team as a whole: Actual and Projected. The Actual lines are just what it says: the actual stats for this season to date; the Projected lines want a little explanation.

The projecting has two steps. The first is simple: for each man, we calculate the ratio of his current-season-to-date Plate Appearances to his career Plate Appearances, then multiply all his career stats by that ratio to get what one might call his “raw” career-performance data pro-rated to his current-year number of Plate Appearances. So, as a hypothetical example, a man with 5,000 career PAs and 250 PAs this season would have a ratio of 250/5000, or .050; so, if he had, say, 1215 career Hits, his raw projected Hits number for this season would be 1215 x .05, or 61 (if the calculated number is fractional, as with 60.75, we round it off to the nearest whole number).

That much is simple and, we hope, clear. The second adjustment takes a little explaining. It derives from the fact that—for a team or for an individual man—the number of Plate Appearances that will be had for a given number of Outs made (which is to say “innings played”) depends exactly on the on-base percentage: the higher the on-base percentage, the more PAs the man or team will have in any given number of innings.

To clarify: imagine a team with an abysmal .250 on-base percentage; that number means that, on average, one man in four that they send to the plate will get on safely. The converse of that is that three men in four will make out. (For simplicity’s sake in this elementary example, we ignore outs made on the bases.) So, in an average inning, that team, to make the three outs that constitute an inning, will send 4 men to the plate. If we next imagine a team with an equally absurd .500 on-base percentage, only half its batters make an out: thus, to make the three outs that define an inning, they would have—again, on average—to send 6 men to the plate. So (as should be intuitively obvious anyway), for a given number of innings, a higher OBP means more PAs.

The consequence of that is that each man’s “raw”stat projections, which were based on his PAs for this season, are slightly inaccurate, because his—and the team’s—PAs would be different (perhaps higher, perhaps lower) from what they are if all the men were performing at their career rates. To correct for that, we calculate each man’s career "outs rate" (all Outs made per plate appearance, which does include outs made on the bases) and multiply it by his percentage of the team’s total Plate Appearances; we then sum up those outs rates to get a projected team Outs rate, and from that—holding Outs made (which, again, is just innings played) constant—we can reckon the projected team PA total. We can then adjust each projected stat line by the ratio of expected team PAs to actual PAs (which normally yields a number fairly close to, but not equalling,1.0), giving us the true projected stats for each man and for the team.

(For this season for this team’s batting, the adjustment factor, rounded to three decimal places—the actual calculations use many more decimals— is 1.003)

Incidentally, that last adjustment is the reason that even rookies, whose whole “career” is just the current season, can have “adjusted” lines that differ slightly from their actual data lines, and why the TOP numbers here may differ slightly from those on other pages here.

You can see the overall “win-capability” of the team (its wins projected from these team numbers and the corresponding team pitching numbers) at our “Projected Team-Performances” page.

The Table

Player (alphabetical by last name) G PA AB H 2B 3B HR TB BB SH SF HBP CI TOP
Addison Barger, actual: 9 28 22 1 1 0 0 2 5 0 1 0 0 145
Addison Barger, projected: 9 28 26 6 2 0 1 11 2 0 0 0 0 564
Brett Bateman, actual: 41 181 158 52 7 1 2 67 18 2 1 2 0 1123
Brett Bateman, projected: 41 182 158 52 7 1 2 67 18 2 1 2 0 1116
Daz Cameron, actual: 8 25 24 5 1 0 1 9 0 0 1 0 0 467
Daz Cameron, projected: 8 25 23 5 1 0 1 8 2 0 0 0 0 558
Jonatan Clase, actual: 9 25 22 6 0 0 2 12 3 0 0 0 0 1186
Jonatan Clase, projected: 9 25 23 5 1 0 1 8 2 0 0 0 0 659
Ernie Clement, actual: 158 621 590 153 33 1 9 215 22 0 7 2 0 565
Ernie Clement, projected: 158 623 585 152 30 2 10 218 24 4 5 4 0 557
Andrés Giménez, actual: 148 508 468 114 25 1 9 168 17 2 5 16 0 559
Andrés Giménez, projected: 148 510 461 116 21 2 11 174 26 3 4 17 0 660
Player (alphabetical by last name) G PA AB H 2B 3B HR TB BB SH SF HBP CI TOP
Vladimir Guerrero Jr., actual: 144 609 542 141 25 0 9 193 56 0 6 5 0 633
Vladimir Guerrero Jr., projected: 144 611 541 154 30 1 24 258 61 0 3 5 0 913
Tyler Heineman, actual: 31 87 78 12 1 0 1 16 2 4 0 3 0 169
Tyler Heineman, projected: 31 87 76 17 3 0 1 22 5 3 0 3 0 396
Eloy Jiménez, actual: 12 35 31 9 0 0 0 9 3 0 1 0 0 657
Eloy Jiménez, projected: 12 35 32 9 1 0 2 15 2 0 0 0 0 796
Sean Keys, actual: 25 67 61 12 2 0 2 20 3 0 1 1 1 554
Sean Keys, projected: 25 67 61 12 2 0 2 20 3 0 1 1 1 520
Alejandro Kirk, actual: 79 313 277 77 8 0 10 115 33 0 3 0 0 795
Alejandro Kirk, projected: 79 314 277 75 12 0 8 111 32 0 3 2 0 761
Nathan Lukes, actual: 125 450 408 113 15 0 10 158 25 7 3 7 0 661
Nathan Lukes, projected: 125 451 401 107 17 2 10 160 34 7 4 4 0 643
Player (alphabetical by last name) G PA AB H 2B 3B HR TB BB SH SF HBP CI TOP
Rudy Martin, actual: 2 3 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0
Rudy Martin, projected: 2 3 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0
Charles McAdoo, actual: 36 106 97 25 4 0 3 38 7 0 2 0 0 714
Charles McAdoo, projected: 36 106 97 25 4 0 3 38 7 0 2 0 0 714
Kazuma Okamoto, actual: 156 636 568 132 26 0 33 257 59 0 3 6 0 752
Kazuma Okamoto, projected: 156 638 570 132 26 0 33 258 59 0 3 6 0 735
Yohendrick Pinango, actual: 58 180 169 44 8 0 5 67 11 0 0 0 0 586
Yohendrick Pinango, projected: 58 181 170 44 8 0 5 67 11 0 0 0 0 569
Jesús Sánchez, actual: 99 299 269 70 18 0 8 112 17 0 5 8 0 680
Jesús Sánchez, projected: 99 300 272 65 14 2 10 113 24 0 2 3 0 673
Davis Schneider, actual: 69 156 124 18 6 0 5 39 29 1 1 1 0 595
Davis Schneider, projected: 69 156 132 27 7 0 6 52 21 0 1 2 0 731
Player (alphabetical by last name) G PA AB H 2B 3B HR TB BB SH SF HBP CI TOP
Josh Smith, actual: 35 89 76 14 2 0 5 31 9 2 1 1 0 614
Josh Smith, projected: 35 89 78 18 3 0 2 27 8 1 0 2 0 647
Lenyn Sosa, actual: 28 84 80 15 4 0 1 22 1 1 1 1 0 277
Lenyn Sosa, projected: 28 84 80 19 3 0 3 30 3 0 0 1 0 552
George Springer, actual: 126 517 462 115 23 2 15 187 47 0 2 3 3 756
George Springer, projected: 126 519 453 120 20 2 23 214 54 0 3 7 2 946
Myles Straw, actual: 146 330 295 71 19 1 3 101 27 4 3 1 0 587
Myles Straw, projected: 146 331 295 73 14 1 2 94 30 3 2 1 0 584
Luis Urías, actual: 26 59 52 13 3 0 3 25 6 0 1 0 0 799
Luis Urías, projected: 26 59 51 12 2 0 2 19 6 0 0 1 0 715
Brandon Valenzuela, actual: 91 271 239 54 9 0 9 90 29 1 1 1 0 662
Brandon Valenzuela, projected: 91 272 240 54 9 0 9 90 29 1 1 1 0 637
Player (alphabetical by last name) G PA AB H 2B 3B HR TB BB SH SF HBP CI TOP
Daulton Varsho, actual: 99 365 333 81 19 2 7 125 29 0 1 2 0 667
Daulton Varsho, projected: 99 366 331 75 16 3 14 138 30 1 2 3 0 681
Blue Jays, Actual: 162 6044 5447 1347 259 8 152 2078 459 24 50 60 4 657
Blue Jays, Projected: 162 6062 5435 1374 253 16 185 2212 494 25 37 65 3 705


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: 0.247 0.253
Slugging Average: 0.381 0.407
Walks (per PA): 0.076 0.081
SOs (per PA): 0.190 0.198
On-Base Average: 0.310 0.321
Power Factor: 1.543 1.610
OPS: 0.692 0.728
Runs Expected from Actual Stats: 657
Runs Expected from Projected Stats: 705
Actual Runs Scored: 648

Return to the page top. ↑




  Advertisement:


  Advertisement:



Want detailed, careful, unhysterical analysis of the effects of “Performance-Enhancing Drugs” in baseball? Click here to visit the Steroids & Baseball web site.

All content copyright © 2002 - 2026 by The Owlcroft Company.

This web page is strictly compliant with the WHATWG (Web Hypertext Application Technology Working Group) HyperText Markup Language (HTML5) Protocol versionless “Living Standard” and the W3C (World Wide Web Consortium) Cascading Style Sheets (CSS3) Protocol v3  — because we care about interoperability. Click on the logos below to test us!



This page was last modified on Tuesday, 29 September 2026, at 5:31 am Pacific Time.